Economic history of Argentina

Historical development of GDP per capita[1]
Argentina Inflation
  Year over Year inflation
  M2 money supply increases Year over Year
  Month over Month inflation
USD / Argentina Currency Exchange Rates
Evolution of GDP growth

The economic history of Argentina is one of the most studied, owing to the "Argentine paradox". As a country, it had achieved advanced development in the early 20th century but experienced a reversal relative to other developed economies, which inspired an enormous wealth of literature and diverse analysis on the causes of this relative decline.[2] Since independence from Spain in 1816, the country has defaulted on its debt nine times. Inflation has often risen to the double digits, even as high as 5,000%, resulting in several large currency devaluations.

Argentina possesses definite comparative advantages in agriculture because the country is endowed with a vast amount of highly fertile land.[3] Between 1860 and 1930, exploitation of the rich land of the pampas strongly pushed economic growth.[4] During the first three decades of the 20th century, Argentina outgrew Canada and Australia in population, total income, and per capita income.[4] By 1913, Argentina was among the world's ten wealthiest states per capita.[5]

Beginning in the 1930s, the Argentine economy deteriorated notably.[4] The single most important factor in this decline has been political instability since 1930 when a military junta took power, ending seven decades of civilian constitutional government.[6] In macroeconomic terms, Argentina was one of the most stable and conservative countries until the Great Depression, after which it turned into one of the most unstable.[7] Despite this, up until 1962, the Argentine per capita GDP was higher than that of Austria, Italy, Japan, and of its former colonial master, Spain.[8][better source needed] Successive governments from the 1930s to the 1970s pursued a strategy of import substitution to achieve industrial self-sufficiency, but the government's encouragement of industrial growth diverted investment from agricultural production, which fell dramatically.[9]

The era of import substitution ended in 1976, but at the same time growing government spending, large wage increases, and inefficient production created a chronic inflation that rose through the 1980s.[9] The measures enacted during the last dictatorship also contributed to the huge foreign debt by the late 1980s which became equivalent to three-fourths of the GNP.[9]

In the early 1990s, the government reined in inflation by making the peso equal in value to the U.S. dollar and privatized numerous state-run companies using part of the proceeds to reduce the national debt.[9] However, a sustained recession at the turn of the 21st century culminated in a default, and the government again devalued the peso.[9] By 2005 the economy had recovered,[9] but the country again defaulted in 2014 and 2020.[10][11]

  1. ^ https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-maddison?tab=chart&yScale=log&time=1880..latest&country=~ARG
  2. ^ della Paolera, Gerardo; Taylor, Alan M. (October 1997). "Finance and Development in an Emerging Market: Argentina and the Interwar Period". NBER Working Paper No. 6236: 1. doi:10.3386/w6236.
  3. ^ Galiani & Gerchunoff 2002, p. 4.
  4. ^ a b c Yair Mundlak; Domingo Cavallo; Roberto Domenech (1989). Agriculture and economic growth in Argentina, 1913–84. International Food Policy Research Institute. p. 12. ISBN 978-0896290785.
  5. ^ Spruk, Rok (2019). "The rise and fall of Argentina". Latin American Economic Review. 28 (1): 16. doi:10.1186/s40503-019-0076-2. ISSN 2196-436X.
  6. ^ Cite error: The named reference econbsc was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  7. ^ Della Paolera & Taylor 2003, p. 87.
  8. ^ GDP per capita graph 1960–2015 by Google Public Data Explorer, sources from World Bank
  9. ^ a b c d e f Cite error: The named reference britarg was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  10. ^ Alexandra Stevenson; Irene Caselli (July 31, 2014). "Argentina Is in Default, and Also Maybe in Denial". NYTimes.com. Retrieved August 1, 2014.
  11. ^ Politi, Daniel (May 22, 2020). "Argentina Tries to Escape Default as It Misses Bond Payment". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved May 24, 2020.

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