Before President Joe Bidenwithdrew, it was considered a battleground state by some.[2][3] However, after incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate, she was favored to keep New Mexico in the blue column.[4][5][6]
Although Harris won New Mexico, her 6-point margin of victory was the worst for a Democratic presidential candidate in the state since John Kerry, who narrowly lost the state to George W. Bush in 2004, and the narrowest Democratic win at this level since Al Gore's 0.06% margin of victory in 2000. This is the 2nd time in a row that New Mexico voted to the right of neighboring Colorado since 1968, with the 2020 election being the first time that New Mexico voted to the right of its historically Republican neighbor in 50 years.